I was wrong when I called Trump a fraud. I was also wrong to estimate his IQ as approximately 125 with a verbal tilt, which took me a lot longer to admit to myself. He’s probably a psychopathic narcissist though, which is a good thing for an executive. But hey, I’ve been wrong enough times about him that I wouldn’t trust this perception either.
That being said, how does this change our model for how the future plays out? Here’s the outline of my thoughts from before:
(0. Cold civil war intensifies.)
1. Trump becomes emperor, US enters imperial stage for eight years.
2. Economic boost due to optimism.
3. Underlying structural problems continue to accumulate in the background and enter death spiral.
4. A couple of years after Trump (~2026), the decline becomes extremely obvious, triggering panic.
5. Politicians and populace use increasingly desperate measures to preserve the status quo.
6. Hot civil war, ethnic cleansing, balkanization, and various other unseemly behaviors as the US goes the way of the Holy Roman Empire.
Points one and two are still good and we’re already seeing them in action. The cold civil war is going to be extremely intense this year and, if Trump isn’t de facto dictator now…oh boy, just wait for this summer…
Summer 2017…hold on to your fuckin’ hats out there kids because ITZ. Gonna. Be. Huge. We’re going to see rioting like this country has never known, and we have a long, long history of rioting.
I’ll say it again: SUMMER 2017. Do not be caught off-guard, and DO NOT GO INTO VIBRANT URBAN AREAS. Just stay out of downtown altogether if you can hack it. If you can’t even dodge the most obvious kinds of trouble like this, I wouldn’t worry too much about building a vault.
Okay, that tangent aside, let’s talk about how Trump changes points 0 and 3, because they’re closely tied. The civil war in this country, and in the West generally, is yet another instance of the occult Manichaean dialectic between order and chaos. This is good and bad: good because it’s predictable, and bad because it predicts bad news for us folks out here in flyover country. In this instance, you might as well call it Republicans vs. Democrats, whites vs. minorities, Mormons vs. Jews, or FBI vs. CIA because that’s kinda how it looks to be shaking out. We want the “order” side to prevail because that’s better for White Children and the victory condition is to have a viable white race in America one hundred years from now.
On top of all that, we have to look at underlying economic stuff. When Trump appointed Rex Tillerson to Secretary of State it was a little shocking for me because it indicates that he understands all this shit. If you had asked me a year ago whether it was possible for the US to change national currencies without a major war I would have said absolutely not, 0% chance. Now? I am willing to sacrifice a little curmudgeon street cred to say we have a shot at pulling it off. Rex Tillerson is the most bizarre possible choice out of a pool of maybe 100,000 choices for top diplomat…unless you’re looking to move from the petrodollar to a petroruble or something comparable. What is Tillerson in three words? Oil, money, Russia.
So if we have a shot at navigating the underlying problems too (and Trump’s first two days in office have already been extremely productive), this changes the dynamic of the cold race war that’s been heating up. We all know the rhetorical phrase “Diversity + Proximity = WAR” but this isn’t quite complete, the real formula is “Diversity + Proximity + Economic misery = WAR” because war BECOMES the rational response in the competition for common resources when you have nothing to lose. Make no mistake, Americans hate hate HATE each other, and they always will. But, we may have more time than we thought.
So, instead of a hot war where whites are fighting for their lives I’m switching my model to slow balkanization, Brazil-style. That means white action will be mostly be restricted to white flight and self-defense rather than massed offensive actions, mixed with a bit of aggressive gentrification caused by the rise of race realism. Probably whites will take back a couple of major cities and a bunch of medium-sized ones, while the others—100% minority-populated—will slide into horrific poverty.
All this is subject to revision. We’ll see.