So far I’m aware of four positive tests:
1. A kid at my sister’s daycare.
2. A tradesman at a customer.
3. A tradesman at a former customer.
4. An engineer at corporate HQ for a huge company in the area.
Case #2 was on a respirator and dialysis because the medications were destroying his kidneys. He died this morning. These are all second-order connections, so square the Dunbar number and figure I have 15,750 of those, four of whom had positive tests (1/3937 or 0.025%), one of whom has died. Considering these are lagging indicators and things started really shutting down around Friday, I figure we’ll hit the peak around next Friday. (That’s presuming Trump doesn’t do something really stupid like overturning all of the state-level executive orders to make line go up.)
Update: My sister reports one of her college friends died. He was 30 and healthy, the guy from my customer was reportedly 40ish.
Update 2: Somebody at my company’s HQ got it. Our leadership has been absolutely hilarious throughout this pandemic. I really couldn’t parody how badly they’ve handled it, although as always I’m impressed with the giant testicles of the woman writing their narratives. So I’m actually more forgiving of Trump’s ineptitude than you might guess from my criticism (I’ve seen worse).