If I post enough chatroom copypasta does that make me a genius?
Holy shit. Cars are going away.-Bonerman
Forget owning a house as a middle class aspirational thing, try owning a car
My first car, my parents bought below market from my grandpa. Second car was a basic white sedan for 3k, something like 70,000 miles
Basic sedan with less than 100,000 miles on it is like 9k minimum now
My starter car was 3k when I got it, a replacement for it was like 7k when I checked a few years back. Looking at 14-16k for a semi decent sedan made within a decade.
Prices are going up, interest rates are going up, and good luck finding a mechanic for your beater car.
Itz going to be MORE expensive to buy a 200k mileage POS because you can’t get parts, and labor is insane.
What kid is going to be able to afford a 30k loan on a McDonald’s part time gig?
Or $200 a month for the beater car plus another $1000 every time something breaks down.
You may want to invest in backyard DIY hydro.
You can use it to LIQUID COOL YOUR GAMING RIG BRAH.
The future is electric dirtbikes.
Tbh probably something with more than two wheels so you can pull a payload.
I just want it to be dirtbikes because that would make me happy.
Yep. I remember a story about the USSR around the time of The Jetsons and The Flintstones.
The people in USSR saw that show and thought it was American propaganda, like their own propaganda.
“One guy working construction can afford a house, car, appliances, kids, and still have time to go bowling? Bullshit!”
I hear The Jetsons was inspired by Detroit. Not anymore!
No joke, contemplating stockpiling a couple years worth of toothpaste of various qualities.
The lesson of COVID is that market prices are illegal, so you get shortages, rationing, and handouts for rich people.
Oh, and a black market.
Good blockquote here about what happens when they sink one container ship
For me the lesson of Covid is that the masses have a revealed preference for not waking up.
So talking to them is irrational.
They’ll walk into the sea in a single-file line until the genetics have shifted to people who are afraid of water.
Can’t really argue with that.
I recommend light teasing and constructive mockery
The median ‘saw it coming’ guy is a single man, with female rescue dog, hopelessly pissed at the sheeple that STILL AREN’T WAKING UP and therefore deserve the hellfire that’s coming
Fortunately I already have a religion for that, so I don’t have to get all excited about it.
I’m resolved to still have friends, so I read the ‘saw it coming’ guys for info but remind myself that the sheep are all women, can’t help themselves.
It really does help, the idea that we’re all toothless meth heads compared to Jesus, so maybe don’t be too hard on your fellow man
Anyway, great time to have already had a decade to kit out a shed in the back with power tools.
If I was in the mood to start a business, I’d be working on a minimum viable low power machine shop/scrap reprocessing center.
Anything large and… “Wartime production measures. We’re taking all your equipment and will pay you in 2022 dollars. You’ll get a check some time in 2033”
Eh, that’s work though.
All right, I read the Denninger blockquote of doom and gloom. He’s not entirely wrong but not entirely right either.
His mistaken assumption is the idea that people are helpless, passive victims in cascades like this.
In reality what we’ll see is massive, sudden government infrastructure spending to try to keep the system alive.
There will be propaganda about our brave electricians and auto mechanics the way there was about nurses during Covid.
People will have times when they open their windows and clap for our heroes.
This is also the part where he’s correct, because we’ve lost the human capital to make big initiatives like this succeed.
Remember when GM tried to make N-95 masks?
I was there as it was happening, and it was an “all the king’s horses and all the king’s men” scenario.
And that’s not even considering the emergency Covid response funds that went directly into private pockets.
To make a mask, need specialized equipment. To get specialized equipment, need specialized equipment industry with slack. Turns out we had a specialized tax farming industry. Maybe try China.
Hmm…correct for all practical purposes.
More or less correct is the best kind of correct! More or less…
The bottleneck was in engineering design and deployment under extreme scrutiny from the C-suite.
To pull something like that off you need to have the right specialists with the right leadership with the right support and the ability to procure the right resources and plenty of time working while not being bothered by idiots.
We’ve spent the last 70 years peeling away every layer of that onion.
Basically they were like:
>this is our moment to shine
>send in the union reps
And that’s where the space program came from.
Again, that’s to say nothing of organized criminal activity in the C-suite.
Returning to the original point for a moment (hey, this is a blog post now isn’t it), the real collapse happens when the normies defect from the national state of emergency after realizing the chips coming out of the new factories don’t work and it’s illegal to say so.
That takes a while. You saw how white ladies reacted to BLM.
“Mostly peaceful protests” wasn’t for you.
So it’s going to be slower than old Karl has been prophesying for the last 30 years, because society will strain itself to adapt to economic conditions.
The real problem is it’s forgotten how to adapt after so many years of doing the opposite on purpose to flex on competent people.
“NEVER BET AGAINST STATUS QUO!”
The quo can stay status longer than you can stay fully prepped
Pretty much. I still think the language of the future is Mandarin.
But I could be wrong.
Sell your vault and buy a gas station
The American continent is worth too much money to be properly depopulated.
Someone is going to be here using electricity.
Probably even computers!
Sounds about right. I’m betting on brown countries starving ‘for Ukraine’ and everything being 40% shittier and twice as expensive here.
Complex things are starting to go, simple things we no know how to makey.
Yup. I’m convinced India is our future.
I think the sweet spot is get just big enough to get grants to make complex parts ‘any day now’ and use the money to build a second machine shop.
More simple things