Two percent of women are worth the risk of marriage

You have heard it said, NAWALT, you can find a good girl if you’re a super-Alpha and you look in the right places. Both Vox and Free Northerner have proposed that, if you can find a high-religiosity, college-educated gal, chances are pretty good that she won’t accuse you of molesting the kids in court someday.

Looking at all this, it’s easy to see the two best determinates of her divorcing you are her education and whether she has had sex prior to marriage.

A bachelor’s degree is a 40-point decrease in the odds of divorce over a high school graduate.

A women having sex with one other partner is an instant 25-point increase in the odds of divorce, with another 10-point drop for a second partner, and another for a fifth. Related to this, her having sex before age 18 is another major risk factor. Marrying her before she’s 20 is also a risk factor, but not as great a one as her having had sex with someone else; if the choice is between a virgin under 20 and older non-virgin, the young virgin is less risky. Do not marry a slut.

Religion is important, but the most important part is less what religion, but rather how devout she is. An actively religious couple is generally a 20-point decrease in the chance of divorce than a non-active couple.

Marrying an Asian is a 15-point decrease in the odds of divorce. Marrying a black was the opposite.

If she had an intact family, that’s a 20-point decrease in the risk of divorce.

If you marry a virgin bride who’s over the age of 20, has an intact family, a college degree, and is a devout Christian, the chances of divorce are very low. If she’s also Asian, they’re even lower.

Also, make sure you earn a lot more than her, don’t be poor, don’t cohabitate before marriage, and don’t knock her up until marriage.

I can’t calculate the exact numbers by calculating all these odds together because a lot of these positive qualities overlap, but I consider myself justified in estimating, that the type of women I plan on marrying would have a statistical likelihood of divorcing me around 10%.

A 10% chance of divorce, even a 20% chance, while still higher than I’d like, is a risk I am willing to take.

Free Northerner
Sexonomics: Odds of Divorce

This is all well and good, but the question everyone is wondering is…how many girls actually fit this profile, in reality?

Even more noteworthy has been the decline in the proportion of women who get married having had only one sex partner (in most cases, their future husbands). Forty-three percent of women had just one premarital sex partner in the 1970s. By the aughts, this was down to 21 percent. Neither of these two trends changed much after the first decade of the twenty-first century. Following in the wake of the sexual revolution, the 1970s have been characterized as a decade of carnal exploration. But this doesn’t seem to have been the case for the vast majority of women who ultimately tied the knot in that decade: almost two-thirds of them had at most one sex partner prior to getting married. Even in the 1980s, slightly over half of women had a maximum of one sex partner before walking down the aisle. Things looked very different at the start of the new millennium.


By the 2010s, only 5 percent of new brides were virgins. At the other end of the distribution, the number of future wives who had ten or more sex partners increased from 2 percent in the 1970s to 14 percent in the 2000s, and then to 18 percent in the 2010s. Overall, American women are far more likely to have had multiple premarital sex partners in recent years…

Counterintuitive Trends in the Link Between Premarital Sex and Marital Stability

Let’s remind ourselves what the odds of divorce are for these demographics.

Number of prior sexual partners (p.18):

0: 20%
1: 46%
2-4: 56-60%
5-15: ~70%
16+: ~80%

Free Northerner
Sexonomics: Odds of Divorce

I don’t know how risk-averse you are, but only virgins look acceptable to me. So that restricts our search to one in twenty girls. How many of these virgins are physically healthy enough to fuck, drunk or otherwise? Well, it turns out BMI has a very weak relationship with number of sexual partners.


(Full disclosure: the study reports a modest correlation between BMI and N, but this is almost entirely due to outliers among the fatties. The biggest sluts are the biggest otherwise, as well. Perchance the biggest liars?)

What this means is that the virgins will have a BMI distribution roughly equivalent to the other girls in the study.

The percentages of men and women who fell into each category of the BMI CDC variable were underweight (<18.5; 2%), healthy weight (18.5–24.99; 39%), overweight (25–29.99; 37%), obese (30–39.99; 15%), and morbidly obese (40.0+; 7%).

Height and Body Mass on the Mating Market
Associations With Number of Sex Partners and Extra-Pair Sex Among Heterosexual Men and Women Aged 18–65

This means that approximately 40% of women are worth having sex with, aside from desperate dumpster diving ONSs. If the odds have you thinking you might go fatty fucking out of desperation, you can test your gag reflex with this BMI visualizer. 40% of 5% is 2%, so assuming you have zero standards for a wife other than being attracted to her and a less than 46% chance of divorce-rape, you’re looking at one in fifty.

About Aeoli Pera

Maybe do this later?
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

12 Responses to Two percent of women are worth the risk of marriage

  1. Boneflour says:

    Three sentence summary of marriage today:

    1. Women divorce weak men.

    2. Marriage gives women State Power and weakens men.

    3. Because of this, Marriage is broken and requires semi-criminal power games to restabilize it.

    • bicebicebice says:

      This, then again this period of “wealth” is a big shit test so its easier to pick out the best ones, not one single woman is forced to even live with a man technically speaking in the west because of money and security (yeah i know it wont last but still).

      Those “Nice” 1970s numbers looks like the 80-20 r/K BUT fast forward to 2010s And it turns out the majority “nice girls” were even more sluutish than the sluts! They were just hiding their power levels all along! Aha! Eureka.

      Reality is purity spiraling and archetype spiraling at the same time, just surf the double helix and you’re winner.

  2. Hezekiah Garrett says:

    Just make sure she knows what a wonderful, moral man you are. And that you are perfectly willing to sacrifice EVERYTHING hunting down and killing those who cross you most heinously. Divorce isn’t so straightforward an option then.

    Sorry I’ve been away, aeoli. Hope I didn’t miss too much. Me and the Mrs. have a 7lb baby girl now!

  3. Tom Kratman says:

    One minor observation, however much we rant and rave about the whorishness of the modern, western female, it’s not entirely or even mostly their fault. They’re almost all trying for a mate, competing for the best man they can get. But we’ve long since gotten to the point where, if they’re to have any chance at all to keep the interest of a man long enough to really get the emotional hooks into him, they must put out because every other girl is.

    It would be funny, were it not tragic, and it remains ironic, tragic or not, but the sexual revolution and feminism, sold under the guise of increasing women’s rights and options, have done precisely the opposite.

  4. “It wasn’t entirely or even mostly Eve’s fault” Cries the white knight cuck king, swinging his scepter of pegdomination.

    “Adam was just a lowly farmer and Eve wanted. no needed, no DESERVED Satan’s hot angel dick” The white knight continues to blame all men for not living up to other worldly status.

    “I mean look, Cain was just a much sexier man than Abel, I mean he killed Abel right? So, way sexier?” The white knight condmens men where God did not.

    GEN 3:17
    And unto Adam he said, Because thou hast hearkened unto the voice of thy wife, and hast eaten of the tree, of which I commanded thee, saying, Thou shalt not eat of it: cursed is the ground for thy sake; in sorrow shalt thou eat of it all the days of thy life;

    God Never, not once blamed Adam for Eve’s hypergamy.

  5. Pingback: How to seduce a narcissist | Aeoli Pera

  6. Pingback: Game absolutely is a zero-sum game | Aeoli Pera

  7. Pingback: Myth: Betas’ standards are unreasonably high | Aeoli Pera

  8. Pingback: What happened in 2004? | Aeoli Pera

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s